In 2018, he finished secondat both the Open Championship and at the U.S. Open. Hes just, well, not there. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. He completes the grand slam. To-win: Sam Burns, +4,000. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. This year's venue, Southern Hills Country Club, will play no favorites -- and neither will we as we outline potential candidates to follow in the footsteps of Yang and company. He was lurking at Bellerive in 2018 and Bethpage Black in 2019, so I don't see why he can't at Southern Hills in 2022. In a Lone Star showdown, Spieth takes home the Wanamaker to complete the grand slam. 1. He's always been in contention at the PGA Championship events and plays well at Dye courses, so I couldn't lay off of him. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. With +15,000 odds, Ill take a flier on someone who I see as a future major champion. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. No more. He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. He has a lot of question marks about his health and form. Throughout the course of the past decade and a half, the PGA Championship has seen its fair share of shocking winners. Matthew Wolff hasnt exactly had the trajectory that we anticipated. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. It's Major week, and the highly anticipated PGA Championship is finally here! Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. He has made the cut in each of his eight tournaments since then, culminating in last week's T5 finish, which was his best career PGA TOUR . To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. This season, despite only one stroke play top 10 on U.S. soil, Scott has been playing like a potential tournament winner. Lets go with the legend himself for a DEEP sleeper. Like I said, its my little escape from all this., Sounds lovely. After slotting at No. He has five titles to his name, one more than Tiger Woods' four. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. The No. Recent PGA Championship Winners (Opening odds) 2021: Phil Mickelson (+15000)2020: Collin Morikawa (+6000)2019: Brooks Koepka (+1400)2018: Brooks Koepka (+2000)2017: Justin Thomas (+3000)2016:. Speaking of high numbers! Out of his 10 professional wins, six have come on the European Tour on links-style courses. The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. Jon Rahm was sort of MIA early in 2022, but a win in his latest start is encouraging. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. That won't be easy. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. Golf's second major is upon us as the best players in the world head to Tulsa, Oklahoma for the 2022 PGA . Dodgers The Early Favorites For Shohei Ohtani? March 8, 2022 6:50 pm ET The PGA Tour is in Ponta Vedra Beach, Florida, for one of, if not the, biggest non-major of the year. Metrics wise, Hovland pops off the charts, ranking fourth in both "Strokes Gained: Total" and "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee," sixth in "Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green," and 23rd in "SG: Approach" this season. Once you get past the favorites, these PGA Championship dark horse picks have long odds but a real sleeper chance to win at Southern Hills. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in ball striking, and second in strokes gained approach. We got it all, chickens, goats, you name it. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. He may not be the best course fit, with his chipping being a weakness, but that is more than factored into this juicy price. Is Phil Mickelson playing the 2022 PGA Championship? He's used to these types of courses and conditions, so if the wind causes havoc this weekend, he might be able to make the leap. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. Lets dig in and find some winners! For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. Ive only seen 9 holes and Southern Hills is already up there with the best courses Ive played in my life #golf, Jason Day waits to putt on the 18th green during the first round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament. A player with his ability and consistency should not be priced this high. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. While he may be on the wrong side off the tee time waves, I believe he could play well this weekend. The Ponies 7. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. He ranks top 30 in this field in approach, putting, bogey avoidance, three-putt avoidance, and sand saves. As such, it will be important to trust some of the bigger hitters in the field, especially considering that the two Par-5 holes are both 630 yards or longer. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Sleeper pick: Keegan Bradley, +1,000. These are decent odds for the best player in the world without a major, a mantle he wont have for long. This will likely make scoring difficult. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Harry Higgs has not had anywhere close to the success that Max Homa has found on TOUR, especially this year. With Jon Rahm, the world No. I expect Scheffler to find himself in the final pairing come Sunday, but Spieth will be there with him. He will win a major, and likely soon. 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. The PGA Tour had a weird 2022. Over the last three months, Woodland ranks inside the top 20 of this PGA Championship field in strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained approach and strokes gained around the green. Cameron Champ hits a tee shot last month during the Mexico Open. We hate touts. Among the deluge of Camerons on the PGA TOUR, 25-year-old American Cameron Young deserves some shine. Who will win the PGA Championship in 2022? Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. Hovland, like Thomas, has one weaker portion of his game, and that is his one-putt percentage. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. So, why no love for Homa from the bookmakers? (Photo: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports). To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. Thats enough for me! If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. your golf bets? Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Note:All odds are courtesy of WynnBet. Because of that showing by Rory and his recent win at the Wells Fargo Championship, he comes into this event as the betting favorite at +1100. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. This one feels too easy. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO). So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. Young isnt a flash in the pan either. He's also first in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green," second in "Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green," and 22nd in "Strokes Gained: Total." Very, very little can be gleaned about this weeks event by looking into the time machine at the results from 2007. If Zalatoris remains near 10% is a great play. MORE: Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022. If youve come to this page before, youll know that one of the items I like to check before making a major championship bet is seeing where the public money is going. WIN CASH WITH ROTOQL & BETQL: Start free trial. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Good iron players with good hands and (hopefully!) Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. Thomas ranks top-five in SG:OTT, top 10 in scrambling from the rough and is the best one-putter on the PGA Tour with a one-putt percentage of just under 46. In 14 starts this calendar year, Higgs has just one top-15 finish and five made cuts. Cut to Wayne and Garth from Wayne's World, as excited as possible for being. PGA Splits 101(great Twitter follow) used true "Strokes Gained" data from Data Golf, adjusted for field strength, and saw that Morikawa is the best ball-striker at the PGA Championship over the past 20 rounds. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. So with that, its no surprise that I have Rory McIlroy as my outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship along with sprinkles on guys like Hideki Matsuyama and Shane Lowry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! No promotions available. We have about 30 acres right now. Y.E. Because the API is an elevated event, 27 of the top 30 players in the world will tee it up at Bay Hill with a $3.6 . Sleeper pick: Y.E. This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. I'm not going out on a limb here with Hovland, as I'm sure he will be on many people's cards this week. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports. Subsequently, we wouldnt be doing our due diligence if we didnt take a hard look at PGA Championship dark horse picks and sleepers that have the game to win this week. However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. He has had hot putting streaks before too, so perhaps he can find his stroke at the right time in Tulsa. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . Min Woo Lee ($6,700) - When Min Woo Lee begin playing events on the PGA Tour he brought some hype. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. His play outperforms his salary and current projected ownership. Its the chalkiest pick on the board, but Im taking it anyway. Taking sleeper picks is. Its got a lot to do with just the bone was healed, there was just a lot of nerve damage. Read below for our favorite sleepers and longshots in the outright, T10 and T20 markets. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. McNealy has only missed the cut once since last years PGA Championship! The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Champ: We have cattle, we have horses. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 3 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 2 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 1 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 4 - Singles. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. Don't have an account? Keegan Bradley at +10,000 and Cameron Tringale at +25,000. It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. ET. Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? Hes finished T23 or better in each of his last four starts, including Top 5 finishes at the Zurich Classic (the team event) and the RBC Heritage. And names like Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and many others always look attractive. The best players in the world, aside from Bryson DeChambeau who. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. I lost all the muscle in my arm pretty much for not using it for four and a half, five months. In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. A feast or famine player, Champ has been flashing some strong form lately. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. His only win in 2021 was at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship that featured paspalum. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. No, hes not hurt. Our staff also likes a few more to-win bets and sleeper picks. Other than being ranked seventhin "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green," his metrics don't pop off the charts. So I had to fight through it and just get the muscle back. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. If any of them are in the running come Sunday, I will live bet and hedge for a little pizza money to make sure I come out on top. Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open. America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. It plays at 7,556 yards after its re-design in 2018and plays to a par of 70. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. Hes not playing like a sleeper with a T2 and T3 in his past two starts and on two very different golf courses (TPC Potomac and Harbour Town). That makes his +275 odds to log a top-10 finish look pretty appetizing. There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. TIL Y.E. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. They each have +400 odds for a top-10 finish and would be great DFS fillers in the sub-$9,000 salary range. There has been a lot of talk about how Southern Hills is Schefflers favorite course, and rave reviews came from his recent practice round there. The PGA Championship produced a first-time major winner five times since 2013. Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. Why not now? But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. We also have a variable of wind and a possibility of a tee time advantage. With an emphasis on ball-striking approach play in particular along with the ability to play well around the green, lets take a look at five sleepers who could make noise at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa this week. 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. Hes long enough, accurate enough and consistent enough. So, good putters should fare well on this course. . Here are a few tips. If he keeps the ball in play off the tee, the Englishman could make a run come Sunday. Smith, Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 8, 2022. Bland fell just short of earning a Masters invite this year, so Id love to see him have a great major week at Southern Hills. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. With that said, however, his great form and how hes succeeding leads me to believe he can be a factor this week. Hottest golfer on the planet. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. hot putters. He is also in the top half of the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and ball-striking. shot lead in the second round of the PGA Tour's Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday.The Spaniard had taken a two-shot lead on Thursday with a seven-under-par 65 . He made the most birdies (22) of any player at Augusta National, and as late at the 11th hole on Masters Sunday, the Aussie was in position to give Scheffler a run for the green jacket. 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. Still, if Fitzpatrick can get hot with the putter and if Berger can get a bit more distance in the Oklahoma heat, both could make a run at the top spot on the leaderboard. In his first PGA Championship in 2020, Schaeffler finished fourth with a score of -10 (eighth in 2021). Sign up for our free newsletter for fresh takes every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday*, A gay golf fan on JT's captivating play at the PGA Championship, Three notes from the ground at Southern Hills, Some major players and major problems that showed up in round 1 of the PGA, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing, A video with Gil Hanse on what the pros will confront at Southern Hills, The Restoration: Southern Hills and the future of championship golf, A PGA Primer on the traits and challenges of Southern Hills, Paulies Picks: Attributes and players to consider for the PGA, What to Know About Perry Maxwell: The life, work, and philosophy of the architect behind Southern Hills, Oklahoma and Maxwell-themed T-shirts for the 2022 PGA. Question: How did you spend that, like how did you occupy the time? Hes also been a fairly reliable player in the majors, missing just one cut in five career starts. Hes finished in the top 20 in four out of his past five starts and is fifthin "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 24 rounds. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. I know DJ withdrew from the AT&T Byron Nelson last Monday and hasn't been sharp recently, but I can't resist betting him at these odds, especially in his home state. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! Touts are lame. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). Recent PGA Champions 4. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 ( DraftKings) Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. Over the last 20 rounds, Varner is seventh in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach. To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. Bradley remains the last player to win in his major championship debut as he proved victorious in a playoff at the Atlantic Athletic Club over Jason Dufner 11 years ago. Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +10,000. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. Days lone major came at the 2015 PGA Championship. Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island lives up to its name with, you guessed it, a lot of water. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship PGA TOUR STANDINGS FedExCup Standings 1 S. Power 749 2 K. Bradley 638 3 M. Hughes 614 4 T. Kim 601 5 B. Harman 594 SLEEPER PICKS Sleeper Picks: PGA. Rory McIlroy 8. I know it's going to be tough for Morikawa to win this event in back-to-back years, but I can't resist. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. Hes a sleeper only because of the odds. His putter, considered a liability in the wake of the anchoring ban, is now a weapon. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years.

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