Doug Ducey, has said that hes not considering a Senate bid. I think thats the responsible thing to do, said Sen. Angus King (I-Maine), who caucuses with Democrats and picked up a Republican-held seat in 2012. Whats more, many Democrats believe that Manchin is perhaps the only Senate candidate who can beat a Republican in West Virginia, and he hasnt yet committed to running for another term. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) pulled out a narrow 3-point victory in his last bid for reelection, maintaining a seat for Democrats in an otherwise deep-red state. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Allen Waters, an investment consultant, has announced a primary challenge against Whitehouse, but remarkably, he was the Republican nominee for the Senate in 2020 and the Republican nominee for Congress (RI-01) in 2022. This section will provide important dates throughout the 2024 congressional election cycle, including filing deadlines, primaries, and campaign finance reporting deadlines, when available. Georgia runoff election: Sen. Raphael G. Warnock (D) won re-election in the Georgia Senate runoff, defeating Republican challenger Herschel Walker and giving Democrats . 10/05/2022 04:30 AM EDT. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). And one of their strongest potential recruits, former Gov. Copy Code. California Democrats are unlikely to wait for her, already eyeing the seat as essentially open in 2024. [74][75][76], Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. Senate Democrats are preparing to play defense in 2024 as they look to preserve their narrow majority in the upper chamber. The 2022 Midterm Elections. On May 14, 2021, Fischer announced she is seeking reelection, despite previously declaring an intention to retire. "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. }, .split-cols-c-list { [23], Two-term Democrat Joe Manchin was re-elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. The top 10 Senate seats that are most likely to flip to the other party. -webkit-columns: 1; Democrats are already lining up for the open seat . Senate Democrats are gearing up for what's expected to be a challenging reelection environment in 2024 even as they await the results of a Senate runoff in Georgia between Sen. Raphael Warnock . (AP Photo/Al Goldis, File) The 2024 Senate race in Michigan appeared promising for Democrats just a couple of weeks ago. For months, political observers and strategists have been keeping their eyes and ears wide open, hoping to find out two big things about the 2024 Senate race in West Virginia. S en. He's up for re-election in 2024. The 2024 Senate race in Arizona is already shaping up to be a chaotic one: Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) left the Democratic Party last year to become an Independent, and potential Democratic challengers, including Rep. Ruben Gallego (Ariz.), are eyeing her seat. Though he won't make a final determination on whether to run again until early next year, he told . And former Rep. Tim Ryan (D) lost a Senate bid there last year, deepening Democrats woes in the Buckeye State. During the Democratic primary of that race, Carper implied that he might not seek re-election in 2024, and, when asked about it, said, "This may be the last time. These 33 United States Senators Are Up for Re-election in 2024: See also Class I Senators by Senator's State. Here are the seven Senate seats most likely to flip in November: Pennsylvania. DE(Carper-D) if Carper-D retires, the Democratic nominee is likely to be Blunt Rochester-D. MD(Cardin-D) if Cardin-D retires, the Democratic nominee is likely to be John Sarbanes-D. VT(Sanders-I) if Sanders-D retires, the Democratic nominee is likely to be . Sherri Lynn Taylor, investor Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, Teresa Naranjo, and Aaron Arguijo, a U.S. Navy veteran, have all filed paperwork to run. Congressmen Bill Huizenga and Mike Rogers, former Congressman Peter Meijer (2021-2023), and Congresswoman Lisa McClain have all expressed interest in running for the Republican nomination. Democrat Dylan Fain has also filed paperwork to run. Mayor of Indianapolis, former Indiana Secretary of State, and former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, Joe Hogsett is also seen as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. [61], Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was re-elected in 2018 with 60.0% of the vote. The following table provides an overview of the incumbent and candidates in 2024 Senate races. And again, Biden will likely be on the ballot, as well, potentially making it harder for Brown to run a campaign independent of the White House. Governor Greg Gianforte is also seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination, as his first term expires in January 2025, and this is just in time for reelection or a Senate run.[83]. Democrat Kristin Hedger, a businesswoman and nominee for North Dakota secretary of state in 2006 has filed paperwork to run for Cramer's seat. Beyond the battleground map and quadrennial allure of the presidential race, retirements can shake up the structure of the Senate. [Tex. Democrats. [5], The map for these elections, like in the previous Class 1 Senate election in 2018, is considered by elections analysts to be unfavorable to Democrats, who will be defending 23 of the 33 seats of Class 1. Senators Murkowski and Young are running this year, but Young has no primary opponent. Incumbent: Democrat Maggie Hassan. One Republican, Mike Braun, and two Democrats, Debbie Stabenow and Dianne Feinstein, have announced an intention to retire. Those in ME/VT are part of the Democratic caucus, while Sen. Sinema in AZ is more loosely affiliated. . On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. Trump carried the state in 2020 by nearly 40 points, while Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R) pulled off an even bigger, 43-point win. No candidates. Casey has announced his intention to run for a fourth term. No I am all in. [93], Three-term Democrat Sherrod Brown was re-elected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2024. Most election predictors used: As of February 2023, three senators have announced plans to retire. That fact alone makes Nevada one of the GOPs best pickup opportunities for 2024. Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. columns: 3; Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, its bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. She has announced her intent to run for a fifth term. His seat is one of the most vulnerable Democratic seats, as he is one of three Senators to hold a seat in a state that Donald Trump, a Republican, won in both of his elections for President of the United States. 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). See also Class I Senators by Senator's Last Name. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she will not seek re-election to a sixth term. [23], Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General, Republican nominee for Governor in 2018, and Republican nominee for Senator in 2022, could potentially challenge Rosen for her seat. [51] She has filed paperwork to run for a second term, but has not made an official announcement. I am curious which seats do you think are safe and which you think are flippable/vulnerable? Mariam Zuhaib/AP Photo, Im gonna listen to people in Delaware, and Im going to listen to my wife. .split-cols-c-list { Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was re-elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. December Harmon, Lucas Kunce, Doris Canaday, and Zack Exley are running in the general election for U.S. Senate Missouri on November 5, 2024. Former President Trump carried it by more than 16 points in 2020, while Sen. Steve Daines (R) won reelection by a 10-point margin. The . Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) hasnt said whether shell seek reelection next year, but even if she does, shes certain to find herself in one of the closest-watched Senate contests in 2024. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Reportedly, he and former President Donald Trump have had conversations on when Reyes will run, should he choose to. Of his future, Manchin said: What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now., Tester vowed that I will not make a decision until sometime early next year and that he is truly undecided but feels very positively about my chances., People say, thats bullshit, youve already made up your mind, Tester said. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema changed her affiliation from Democrat to independent after the 2022 elections. Think we're missing something? Youre not my vector for an announcement.. If he decides to retire from the Senate, it would almost certainly take the seat out of play for Democrats. Sasse resigned from the U.S. Senate on January 8, 2023, after being appointed president of the University of Florida.[1][2][3]. Sinema said she would not caucus with Republicans.[4]. his reelection bid in 2024 as the state . columns: 1; [72], Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was re-elected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. This race's position on the rankings continues to be one of the biggest surprises of the 2022 cycle. Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown. [55][56], 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake and 2022 Senate nominee Blake Masters are considering running for the Republican nomination. She left the Democratic Party in December 2022. Others haveannounced they would not be seeking another term, like California Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein,thelongest serving senator in the state, who announced in February she will be retiring. Sen. Sinema is up for reelection in 2024, and her critics are looking for a primary challenger. U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., speaks onstage during the Vox Media's 2022 Code Conference on . Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment. Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. If both him and McCormick choose to run, then it would be one of two potential primary rematches of the cycle. Murphy has announced he is running for a third term. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) speaks about President Joe Bidens infrastructure agenda near the Brent Spence Bridge, Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023, in Covington, Ky. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky). [36], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. nearly 6 percentage points in 2012 and more than 10 points in 2018. That makes the decisions of undecided incumbents critical ahead of whats likely to be another narrowly divided Senate next year, with seats Democrats used to hold in Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota drifting further away. Democrats up for reelection in 2024: California: Dianne Feinstein (retiring) . (Al Drago/Pool via AP). because some [Republicans] will lose. Mandela Barnes. These progressives are trying to make it happen", "2024 Senate map is a GOP dream. Whitehouse is running for a fourth term. On the other hand, Republicans havent yet settled on a candidate either. Two times as many Democrat incumbents are up for reelection. See also Class III Senators (Up for Re-election in 2022) by State. 2023 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Satellite Information Network, LLC. . Congressman Mike Gallagher (WI-08), former Congressman Sean Duffy (2011-2019), and Congressman Bryan Steil (WI-01) are seen as potential Republican challengers.[116]. Dec. 7, 2022, at 11:18 AM. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has no plans other than to run for reelection.. SALEM Sen. Bill Hansell, R-Athena, announced Thursday, March 2, that he would not seek reelection in 2024, ending more than four decades in politics. (Ohio's @SherrodBrown and Montana's @jontester have already announced they're running. You make up your mind after you have a chance to talk everything over with your family.. Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) said hes putting all the pieces together to seek a third term. [79], Notably, on February 24, 2023, U.S. Representative John James, Republican nominee for Senate in 2018 and 2020, has recently declined a third bid for Senate, and a second bid for Stabenows seat, as he is running for reelection. Brown is the only Democrat to win a . Ron DeSantis (R) by 15 points among GOP primary voters in a hypothetical 2024 match-up, new polling from Fox News shows. McCarthy and Cheney, a former member of . As Cruz has supported legislation limiting senators to . [23], One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. President Biden boarded Air Force One in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, on Sunday . After cutting a huge deal on climate, health care and taxes with Schumer, Manchin is now watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. Three keys states in the 2024 cycle that feature Democratic senators up for reelection in states Donald Trump won in 2020. The other swing-state Democratic senators up in 2024 Robert P. Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) and Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) won a little more comfortably in 2018 but will be targets. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. Others were more firm. Democrats say that Brown has a unique ability to talk to working-class voters and a proven ability to resonate in an increasingly red state. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock was one half of a shocking Democratic sweep during Georgia's epic Jan. 5 runoffs. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { [49] [114], Manchin has received cross-party endorsements from fellow senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). (AP Photo/Mariam Zuhaib, File). Elections to the United States Senate were held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024 with 34 of the 102 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners served six-year terms from January 3, 2025 until January 3, 2031. She has announced her intent to run for a fourth term. When asked about this, it was reported on Twitter that he said, "as a Blue Dog, a moderate Democrat, I will have broad appeal."[100]. 33 Class II senate seats were up for re-election. [104][105], Utah Attorney General Sean Reyes has expressed interest in challenging Romney in the Republican primary. [77], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. Tech: Matt Latourelle Nathan Bingham Ryan Burch Kirsten Corrao Beth Dellea Travis Eden Tate Kamish Margaret Kearney Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez. Independent ratings for AZ, ME, and VT only, Place the map on your website with this code. Am I undecided? One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote. [23], Republican congressman Alex Mooney and Republican Chris Rose have announced they are challenging Manchin, while governor Jim Justice and attorney general Patrick Morrisey have publicly expressed interest in entering the race. Sisolak. Two-term Democrat Chris Murphy was re-elected in 2018 with 59.5% of the vote. columns: 1; Pete Ricketts tapped to fill Sasse's Senate seat", "Lt. Col. Other potential Republican challengers include businessman Sam Brown, a candidate for the Republican nomination for Senate in 2022, reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra. Democrat Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot LOSES reelection over failed soft-on-crime policies. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Nevertheless, Republicans are hoping to field a stronger challenger next time around, intent on avoiding a repeat of 2022. On February 22, 2023, Tester announced he is running for a fourth term. Article I, Section II of the Constitution says that each state shall have at least one U.S. Representative, while the total size of a state's delegation to the House depends on its population. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) Shark Tanks Kevin OLeary blasts Ocasio-Cortez: She kills jobs by the Pelosi on DC crime bill: I wish Biden wouldve told us first, Manchin indicates opposition to Biden lands nominee over internal memo. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 5, 2024, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2025. Sen. Dianne Feinstein announced Tuesday that she won't run for reelection in 2024, clearing the field for a younger . [110] Eleven days later, Jonathan Emord, author and constitutional litigator, announced he is running for the Republican nomination in order to challenge Kaine. They won't face voters until 2024, and by then, who knows? Email us. The vast majority, 23 of the 34, senators up for reelection in 2024 caucus with the Democrats. [85], One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. Brown is running for a fourth term. -webkit-columns: 3; Additionally, Kyrsten Sinema's first term is ending in Arizona, a state that Biden won by less than a quarter of a point in 2020; before the end of the 117th Congress, Sinema left the Democratic Party and became an independent, and it is currently unclear whether national Democrats will support her re-election campaign, if she chooses to run, or back a Democrat. So the options are wide open,. U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date. Brown is up for reelection in 2024. .split-cols-c-list { She's not up for reelection until 2024, and in politics, a lot can happen in two years. The interactive map provides a series of purple shades to use in these three states, in addition to the regular D/R colors. The survey released on Sunday . Whats clear is that the race is emerging as one of the most contentious in the country. But for now, Sinema maintains a more conservative stance than fellow Democrats in Congress. Class I terms run from the beginning of the 116th Congress on January 3, 2019, to the end of the 118th Congress on January 3, 2025. There have been reports that Manchin plans to run for a third full term. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Before he had his first midterm in 1926, Coolidge was re-elected as president in 1924. Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. Unlike Manchin and Tester, three-term Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown has already announced he will run for reelection in 2024. -moz-columns: 3; We try not to talk about it til it starts.. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["hCF0u"]={},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas={"100":631,"200":498,"300":449,"400":435,"500":400,"600":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":386},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-hCF0u"),window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("hCF0u"==b)window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); There are 33 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election in 202410 seats held by Republicans, 20 held by Democrats, and three held by independents who caucus with Democrats. Mar. [6] Should Carper retire, U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE) and Governor John Carney are both seen as potential candidates for the Democratic nomination, with Rochester having already expressed interest. Incumbent Sens. Three other remarkable potential candidates include Beto O'Rourke, 2018 Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, Julin Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, former Mayor of San Antonio, and candidate for President in 2020, and Representative Joaquin Castro (TX-13). Representatives Barbara Lee,[18] Katie Porter,[21] and Adam Schiff[59] have announced that they are running for the seat. Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. Their best targets appear to be Florida and Texas, but both states have proved elusive for Democrats in recent years. Can you bring your vape pen or e-cigarette on a plane? I am all in. [3] Representative Elissa Slotkin is running for the Democratic nomination. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch | However, she has yet to make an official announcement. In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government. Ricketts and Air Force Veteran John Glen Weaver have declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination. Pest control company owner, Michael Hoover, has filed paperwork to run. John Barrasso > Wyoming. President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term, Jan. 6 hearings to investigate the attack, blocked Schiff from serving on the Intelligence Committee. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. 100% remote. Both Manchin and Tester are also up for reelection next year in states where the GOP dominates. West Virginia's @JoeManchinWV hasn't decided yet) 02 Mar 2023 14:30:09 Republicans up for reelection in 2024: Florida: Rick Scott . Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to become an independent in December 2022. [23], Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. [111] In addition, Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin's current term will expire on January 2026, and the Virginia Constitution says that governors may not serve consecutive terms, so Youngkin will be unable to run for reelection. Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo, Arizonans are in the middle of a very busy election season, and its important we focus our resources on keeping Mark Kelly in the Senate instead of starting the next campaign anytime soon. [42], Republican State Senator Matt Dolan has announced his candidacy,[94] and Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose is considered another potential challenger to Brown. Every one of my decisions are made basically after talking to family, and some of my close friends who have been advising me over the years. But candidate strength is unsettled", "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", "Ro Khanna says he's looking at the Senate", https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/05/senate-dems-reelection-00060062, "Delaware's Heated Senate Race Threatens to Rip Apart Its Centrist Political Fabric", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/03/maryland-dems-cardin-reelection-00081005, "Melbourne lawyer floats Primary challenge to Rick Scott", https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3773788-rick-scott-faces-uncertain-future-after-bruising-midterm-year/, https://www.orlandosentinel.com/politics/os-ne-stephanie-murphy-leaves-congress-20221201-nidvjwxforhr7g66ye5h365ota-story.html, "GOP Rep. Banks jumps into race for open Indiana Senate seat", "Hoosier free-for-all? Stabenow announced on Jan. 5, she will not run for reelection in 2024. I feel great. Class I - Senators Whose Term of Service Expire in 2025. Biden spoke with Senate Democrats on Thursday after addressing the House caucus a day earlier, touting their achievements and shoring up support ahead of a likely reelection announcement . -webkit-columns: 3; There are no Republican senators up for reelection in 2024 in states that Biden won. The third-ranking Democrat's departureleaves the GOP with a pickup opportunity in a swing state. Democrats are eager to get Baldwin to commit to another Senate run. Ditto Nevada, where first-term Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) is up for reelection, and the leading GOP candidate is former Attorney General Adam Laxalt, who lost a race for governor in 2018. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. Some members of the House are throwing their names on the ballot for a seat in the upper chamber, while a handful of senators have launched campaigns for reelection. By helping Democrats pass a landmark $750 billion climate, tax and health care bill, Sens. After all, shes won twice before by solid margins. [24] However, due to his role in a worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, Scott is seen as vulnerable to a primary challenge. Should he run, Romney has the endorsement of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term.

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